Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.3	3.05	2.18
	3.1	2.95	2.17
	3.55	2.43	2.62	Watch
	3.33	3.02	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.54)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.26 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tarazona
27.8%

Draw
31.7%

Real Murcia
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarazona's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tarazona - Real Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Murcia (1.53) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 14. Borge A. 2. Lopez A. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 6. Carrasco O. 15. Alonso I. 23. Rodriguez D. 9. Cubillas D. 7. Soto D.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 6. Gonzalez A. 4. Lopez A. 2. Mier J. 3. Romero C. 31. Djanbou S. 7. Moyita S. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 20. Zenitagoia E. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
10. Aguero 13. Amigo (G) 19. Armero S. 27. Fita A. 11. Gomez J. 17. Jimenez A. 20. Martinez J. 8. Ramon A. 5. Traore B. 22. Vaquero	32. Adebayo K. 16. Antonio David 9. Benito P. A. P. 11. Bustos A. 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Sarabia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Romero C. 🟨,
26', Lopez A. 🟨,
45', Djanbou S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cubillas D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
56', Rodriguez D. ↓, Aguero ↑,
59', Djanbou S. 🟨,
61', Bosilj D. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
61', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
64', Alonso I. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
69', Soto D. 🟨,
70', Soto D. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
70', Alonso I. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
72', Mier J. 🟨,
75', Mier J. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
75', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
76', Aguero 🟨,
78', Borge A. 🟨,
80', Romero C. ↓, Adebayo K. ↑,
87', Trilles M. 🟨,
90+2', Lopez A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Tarazona - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sevilla B - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Tarazona - Antequera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.10.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Real Murcia - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Real Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTTW

Upcoming Matches