Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.95
	1.81	3.1	4.77
	1.50	3.68	6.49	Watch
	1.72	3.34	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)	3.33 ↓ (3.68)	5.3 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
54.9%

Draw
27.7%

Ebro
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Sestao - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Lamadrid D. ⚽,
80', Attipoe E. 🟨,
90+2', Paki 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ebro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sestao won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sestao - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTW
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Beasain - Ebro	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ebro - Ejea	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	UD Logroñés - Ebro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.02.16	Ebro - Sestao	0:0
19.09.15	Sestao - Ebro	1:1

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