Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 19

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank Sports Centre (Edinburgh)


	Edinburgh City		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.33
	2.81	3.31	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.4
	2.73	3.24	2.41
	2.9	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.48)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	2.34 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
32.5%

Draw
28.3%

Bonnyrigg Rose
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

25.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edinburgh City's performance.

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bonnyrigg Rose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bonnyrigg Rose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Edinburgh City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weir M. (G) 6. Lynch E. (C) 5. McArthur L. 2. Gormley S. 23. Grigor J. 7. Stokes J. 8. Jones S. 10. Jarvis J. 3. Mitchell Q. 11. Lawson I. 9. Young C.	25. Andrews M. (G) 18. Somerville K. 3. Martyniuk N. 4. Young K. (C) 11. Barrett B. 7. Ferrie M. 6. Murphy S. 22. Connolly C. 20. Lennon G. 19. Ross C. 8. Higginbotham K.
Substitutes
12. Beveridge D. (G) 20. Hamilton R. 33. Ouzy See 19. Pitt C. 17. Rennie J. 4. Robertson J. 15. Scally S. 16. Walker R. 24. Zaid M.	1. Anderson M. (G) 16. Arnott A. 10. Currie L. 15. Dowling M. 9. McGachie K. 24. Scarborough B. 14. Wardell O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Young C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', Jarvis J. ↓, Zaid M. ↑,
72', Lawson I. ↓, Ouzy See ↑,
75', Higginbotham K. ↓, Wardell O. ↑,
75', Somerville K. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
75', Connolly C. ↓, Currie L. ↑,
82', Barrett B. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
82', Lennon G. ↓, Scarborough B. ↑,
83', Grigor J. 🟨,
88', Mitchell Q. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Ouzy See ⚽,
90+2', Stokes J. ↓, Rennie J. ↑,
90+2', Young C. ↓, Hamilton R. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bonnyrigg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Edinburgh City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
28.12.24	Spartans - Edinburgh City	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Stirling Albion - Edinburgh City	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
30.11.24	Edinburgh City - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTWL
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
21.12.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:1 ✺
03.12.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
19.10.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	2:0
17.08.24	Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	1:2

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