Match Info

League Two - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.5
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.5	4.1	5.8
	1.5	4.02	5.74
	1.5	4	6
	1.54	4.14	5.69
	1.5	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	4.04 ↑ (3.68)	5.68 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
61.1%

Draw
22.7%

Bonnyrigg Rose
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

24%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterhead's performance.

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bonnyrigg Rose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterhead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Peterhead will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McKenzie S. (G) 2. Strachan D. 15. Ross S. 5. Brown J. 29. Dunne C. 77. Barry M. 8. McCarthy A. 17. Smith C. 21. Forrest D. 22. Ross S. 25. Colloty O.	1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. 22. Connolly C. 3. Martyniuk N. 19. Ross C. 10. Currie L. 6. Murphy S. 24. Watson B. 16. Aiken M. 21. Porteous R.
Substitutes
7. Armour B. 12. Brown J. 18. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 9. McAllister R. 13. Oluyemi B. (G) 19. Pawlett P. 87. Walker J. 16. Wilson D.	25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 7. Ferrie M. 20. Lennon G. 9. McGachie K. 18. Somerville K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Mailer A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽, Ross S. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽, Dunne C. (A),
39', Strachan D. ↓, Wilson D. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Colloty O. ⚽,
48', Young K. 🟨,
49', 🟨,
51', Aiken M. 🟨,
58', Watson B. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
58', Porteous R. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Forrest D. ⚽, Smith C. (A),
64', Smith C. ↓, Carnwath A. ↑,
64', McCarthy A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
64', Colloty O. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
66', Currie L. ↓, Lennon G. ↑,
71', Ross C. 🟨,
73', Murphy S. ↓, Somerville K. ↑,
73', Mailer A. ↓, Ferrie M. ↑,
76', Forrest D. ↓, Pawlett P. ↑,
78', Brown J. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Carnwath A. ⚽, Dunne C. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 3.

Peterhead is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bonnyrigg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Peterhead is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Peterhead to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterhead won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League Two
29.03.25	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Stirling Albion - Peterhead	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Peterhead - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stranraer - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Peterhead - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTW
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
29.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Clyde - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4
21.12.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0
03.08.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	0:1
06.04.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	2:2
20.02.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0
09.12.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	1:1
16.09.23	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1

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