Match Info

League Two - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		East Fife

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.38
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.8	3.35	2.37
	2.77	3.32	2.35
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.82	3.25	2.38
	2.8	3.35	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.87)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
33.2%

Draw
28.6%

East Fife
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Forfar Athletic - East Fife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Logan C. 4. Morrison S. (C) 24. Lemon M. 5. Allan M. 18. McAllister R. 12. Denholm D. 20. Slater C. 26. Ferguson A. 9. Skelly J. 22. Rodden B.	21. McFarlane L. (G) 18. Higginbotham K. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 15. Peggie R. 4. Millar K. 6. McManus C. 22. McKenna M. 11. Healy J. 9. Shepherd S. 14. Austin N.
Substitutes
19. Cannon N. 11. Inglis K. 7. MacLean R. 8. Malcolm B. 14. McLean R. 21. Paris Z. (G) 16. Robson F. . Sweenie-Rowe M. 23. Young S.	20. Bah M. 1. Fleming A. (G) 23. Jones R. 16. Laaref A. 2. Murdoch S. 3. Newton L. 12. Nicol G. 7. Norey J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, McAllister R. ⚽, Ferguson A. (A),
24', Healy J. 🟨,
32', Munro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Healy J. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
62', Higginbotham K. ↓, Norey J. ↑,
62', Shepherd S. ↓, Laaref A. ↑,
71', Skelly J. ↓, McLean R. ↑,
79', Peggie R. ↓, Newton L. ↑,
79', McManus C. ↓, Nicol G. ↑,
81', McLean R. 🟨,
82', Denholm D. ↓, MacLean R. ↑,
82', McAllister R. ↓, Cannon N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forfar won 1.

Forfar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches East Fife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Forfar won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:27 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Forfar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Forfar Athletic - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.88%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
29.03.25	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Forfar Athletic - Spartans	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWLWW
- East Fife
Scottish League Two
29.03.25	East Fife - Spartans	4:2 ✺
22.03.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	5:2 ✺
15.03.25	East Fife - Stranraer	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Clyde - East Fife	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stirling Albion - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
04.01.25	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:0
19.10.24	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	0:0
17.08.24	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	2:1
20.04.24	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	2:1
24.02.24	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:1
30.12.23	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	0:0
30.09.23	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:1

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