Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)


	East Fife		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.63	3.85	4.8
	1.57	4.18	5.21
	1.54	4.02	5.21	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.6	4.02	5.15
	1.63	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.81)	3.83 ↑ (3.63)	4.7 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
56.1%

Draw
24.2%

Elgin City
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Fife's performance.

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

East Fife - Elgin City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. East Fife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - East Fife (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: East Fife will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. East Fife (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McFarlane L. (G) 7. Norey J. 19. Munro A. 20. Bah M. 18. Higginbotham K. 15. Peggie R. 4. Millar K. 23. Jones R. 6. McManus C. 16. Laaref A. 14. Austin N.	28. McHale T. (G) 14. Girvan K. 2. Cooper M. 4. MacEwan R. 12. Cairns O. 18. McDonald O. 8. Cameron B. 27. MacDonald L. 17. Hyde L. 16. Gavin D. 15. Fleming K.
Substitutes
5. Easton B. 1. Fleming A. (G) 11. Healy J. 22. McKenna M. 2. Murdoch S. 12. Nicol G. 9. Shepherd S. 8. Slattery P. 10. Trouten A.	1. Aidan G. (G) 7. Dingwall R. 5. Dolzanski J. 26. Fraser D. 9. Golding D. 19. Hester K. 22. MacIver J. 6. Murray J. 10. Sargent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jones R. ⚽, Austin N. (A),
32', Hyde L. ↓, Sargent R. ↑,
41', McDonald O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Cooper M. ↓, Dolzanski J. ↑,
64', Jones R. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,
66', Laaref A. ↓, Trouten A. ↑,
66', Austin N. ↓, Healy J. ↑,
76', MacEwan R. ↓, Murray J. ↑,
76', Gavin D. ↓, Hester K. ↑,
76', Sargent R. ↓, Fraser D. ↑,
88', Norey J. ↓, Nicol G. ↑,
90+1', Hester K. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Nicol G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, East Fife is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:29. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, East Fife won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League Two
26.04.25	Peterhead - East Fife	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	East Fife - Stirling Albion	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	East Fife - Spartans	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
26.04.25	Elgin City - Stranraer	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Elgin City - Peterhead	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
01.02.25	Elgin City - East Fife	1:0
07.12.24	East Fife - Elgin City	2:1
03.08.24	Elgin City - East Fife	4:2
30.03.24	East Fife - Elgin City	2:0
03.02.24	Elgin City - East Fife	1:0
09.12.23	East Fife - Elgin City	4:0
26.08.23	Elgin City - East Fife	1:1

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