The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Edinburgh City 38.5%
Draw 27%
Spartans 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
24.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
24.4%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Edinburgh City - Spartans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Weir M. (G) 8. Leitch R. 5. Grigor J. 21. Rowe F. 2. McGinn C. 10. Jarvis J. (C) 6. Leitch J. 11. Lawson I. 18. Aiken M. 7. Walker L. 24. Foster K.
21. Martin P. (G) 2. Mudie M. 15. Sonkur A. (C) 5. Tapping J. 19. Drysdale E. 23. Heal B. 4. Welsh S. 18. Walls B. 29. Stowe M. 14. Dinanga R. 9. McNulty M.
Substitutes
16. Allen G. 17. Bunker C. 22. Dowie S. (G) 27. Gardiner L. 25. Glasgow E. 20. North T. 4. Pitt C.
1. Carswell B. (G) 6. Dall B. 17. Del Giacco A. 7. Dishington J. 16. Fitzsimmons O. 20. McAllister Z. 10. Ross M. 12. Thomson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, McGinn C. ⚽,
25', Grigor J. ↓, North T. ↑,
35', Stowe M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, McNulty M. ⚽, Stowe M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Mudie M. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
62', Lawson I. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Welsh S. ⚽, Walls B. (A),
70', Leitch R. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
77', Walker L. ↓, Allen G. ↑,
77', Leitch J. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
77', Dinanga R. ↓, Dishington J. ↑,
82', Walls B. ↓, McAllister Z. ↑,
90', McAllister Z. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 1.
Edinburgh City has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Spartans have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spartans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Edinburgh City has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Edinburgh City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Spartans
11
4
3
4
22:20
2
15
8
Edinburgh City
11
4
4
3
20:18
2
11
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Edinburgh City: 7.64% Spartans: 7.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Edinburgh City - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Weir M. (G) 
Heal B. 
Dinanga R. 
Gardiner L. 
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