Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Loro Borici Stadium (Shkodër)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5


	Egnatia Rrogozhinë		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.7	3.25	2.55
	2.78	3.2	2.66
	2.75	3.19	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.24	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.57)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
34.5%

Draw
28.9%

Vikingur Reykjavik
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vikingur will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dabjani I. (G) 44. Fangaj A. 13. Malota R. (C) 3. Dulysse F. 16. Ndreca E. 17. Zejnullai A. 6. Aleksi A. 28. Ahmetaj A. 82. Kasa R. 27. Drame Y. 14. Doukouo L.	1. Jonsson I. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 5. Fjoluson J. 4. Ekroth O. 6. Vatnhamar G. 8. Andrason V. 10. Punyed P. (C) 21. Thrandarson A. 11. Thordarson G. 25. Ingimundarson V. 17. Sigurpalsson A.
Substitutes
4. Aliyev Z. 2. Duka A. 29. Gjata M. 1. Kuka K. (G) 23. Lubas J. 70. Lushkja R. 24. Rama R.	7. Agnarsson E. 80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 24. Atlason D. 19. Djuric D. 9. Gudjonsson H. 18. Hauksson O. 12. Sigurdsson H. 2. Thorkelsson S.
Coaches
Tetova E.	Gunnlaugsson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Dulysse F. (Own goal), Thordarson G. (A),
41', Ingimundarson V. 🟨,
42', Punyed P. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kasa R. ↓, Aliyev Z. ↑,
46', Drame Y. ↓, Lushkja R. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Thrandarson A. ⚽,
58', Thrandarson A. ↓, Gudjonsson H. ↑,
59', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Atlason D. ↑,
69', Lushkja R. 🟨,
78', Ahmetaj A. ↓, Gjata M. ↑,
86', Djuric D. 🟨,
90+3', Zejnullai A. ↓, Rama R. ↑,
90+3', Ndreca E. ↓, Lubas J. ↑,
90+5', Lubas J. 🟨,
90+7', Gunnarsson K. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Loro Borici Stadium.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Vikingur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Egnatia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Club Friendly
28.07.24	Napoli - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Borac Banja Luka	2:2 penalties ✺
10.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Budućnost Podgorica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.24	KA Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Shamrock Rovers - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1

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