Match Info
Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finalsDate: 13 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Arena Egnatia (Rrogozhinë)Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Albania | RTSH 1, RTSH Sport, SuperSport 2 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 World | LOI TV |
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Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
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Shamrock Rovers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
 Watch |
 |
2.20 |
3.40 |
3.20 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.3 |
3.15 |
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 |
2.28 |
3.45 |
3.27 |
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 |
2.09 |
3.6 |
3.37 |
Watch |
 |
2.2 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.23 |
3.42 |
3.21 |
Watch |
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2.19 |
3.35 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.85) |
3.37 ↑
(3.15) |
3.21 ↑
(2.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
42.9% | Draw
27.8% | Shamrock Rovers
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamrock Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamrock Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Shamrock will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egnatia: 54.3% – 84.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Egnatia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
98.  Dajsinani M. (G)
28. Sota E.
33. Bitri E.
6. Aleksi A. (C)
22.  Jaime G.
20.  Loukili K.
7.  Fernando Medeiros
10.  Albanese A.
16. Ndreca E.
2.  Adjessa D.
77. Gruda I.
| 1.  McGinty E. (G)
22. Sobowale T.
4.  Lopes R. (C)
3. Stevens E.
11. Mulraney J.
7. Watts D.
8. Healy M.
29. Byrne J.
24. Fitzgerald W.
10. Burke G.
9. Greene A.
|
| Substitutes |
24.  Ajetovikj N.
4.  Aliyev Z.
8.  Diabate I.
13. Kacbufi A.
17.  Kryeziu A.
99.  Montenegro J.
12. Puja B. (G)
55. Smajli G.
1.  Tandilashvili L. (G)
29. Yago A.
| 18. Afolabi J.
15.  Asamoah M.
19. Brennan A.
5. Grace L.
34. Mahon B.
14. Mandroiu D.
41. Noonan A. (G)
31. Noonan M.
17. O'Regan L.
27. O'Sullivan C.
26. O'Sullivan J.
25. Steacy L. (G)
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| Coaches |
Dede N.
| Bradley S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Adjessa D. ⚽, Gruda I. (A),
- 11', 2 - 0, Albanese A. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
- 20', 3 - 0, Gruda I. ⚽,
- 24', Ndreca E. 🟨,
- 38', 4 - 0, Adjessa D. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
- 45+3', Ndreca E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Greene A. ↓, Afolabi J. ↑,
- 46', Sobowale T. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
- 46', Gruda I. ↓, Aliyev Z. ↑,
- 54', Stevens E. 🟨,
- 54', Albanese A. 🟨,
- 58', 5 - 0, Albanese A. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
- 64', Mulraney J. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
- 65', Adjessa D. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
- 66', Loukili K. ↓, Kryeziu A. ↑,
- 70', Stevens E. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
- 71', Aliyev Z. 🟨,
- 74', 5 - 1, Burke G. ⚽,
- 80', Jaime G. ↓, Smajli G. ↑,
- 85', Fernando Medeiros ↓, Ajetovikj N. ↑,
- 88', Sota E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Healy M. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-3.Egnatia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Shamrock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Egnatia might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egnatia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
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Last Results with these Odds
Shamrock Rovers - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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