Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Egnatia (Rrogozhinë)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	RTSH 1, RTSH Sport, SuperSport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Egnatia Rrogozhinë		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.20
	2.18	3.3	3.15
	2.28	3.45	3.27
	2.09	3.6	3.37	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.25
	2.23	3.42	3.21	Watch
	2.19	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.85)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)	3.21 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
42.9%

Draw
27.8%

Shamrock Rovers
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shamrock Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamrock Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	27%	5.4%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Shamrock will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egnatia: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Egnatia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Dajsinani M. (G) 28. Sota E. 33. Bitri E. 6. Aleksi A. (C) 22. Jaime G. 20. Loukili K. 7. Fernando Medeiros 10. Albanese A. 16. Ndreca E. 2. Adjessa D. 77. Gruda I.	1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 4. Lopes R. (C) 3. Stevens E. 11. Mulraney J. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 24. Fitzgerald W. 10. Burke G. 9. Greene A.
Substitutes
24. Ajetovikj N. 4. Aliyev Z. 8. Diabate I. 13. Kacbufi A. 17. Kryeziu A. 99. Montenegro J. 12. Puja B. (G) 55. Smajli G. 1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 29. Yago A.	18. Afolabi J. 15. Asamoah M. 19. Brennan A. 5. Grace L. 34. Mahon B. 14. Mandroiu D. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 17. O'Regan L. 27. O'Sullivan C. 26. O'Sullivan J. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Dede N.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Adjessa D. ⚽, Gruda I. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Albanese A. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
20', 3 - 0, Gruda I. ⚽,
24', Ndreca E. 🟨,
38', 4 - 0, Adjessa D. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
45+3', Ndreca E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Greene A. ↓, Afolabi J. ↑,
46', Sobowale T. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
46', Gruda I. ↓, Aliyev Z. ↑,
54', Stevens E. 🟨,
54', Albanese A. 🟨,
58', 5 - 0, Albanese A. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
64', Mulraney J. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
65', Adjessa D. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
66', Loukili K. ↓, Kryeziu A. ↑,
70', Stevens E. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
71', Aliyev Z. 🟨,
74', 5 - 1, Burke G. ⚽,
80', Jaime G. ↓, Smajli G. ↑,
85', Fernando Medeiros ↓, Ajetovikj N. ↑,
88', Sota E. 🟨,
90+3', Healy M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

Egnatia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shamrock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Egnatia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Egnatia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Shamrock Rovers - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Celje - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:2 penalties ✺
22.07.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Celje	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Petrocub-Hîncești	6:1 ✺
08.07.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWT
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
31.07.26	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Ararat-Armenia - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1

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