The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ehime 56.7%
Draw 23%
Thespakusatsu Gunma 20.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.4%
22.9%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
21.7%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. 50. Sugiyama K. 16. Hosoya K. 49. Abe R. 8. Kamimura S. 48. Yukutomo T. 28. Kozakai A. 22. Takemoto Y. 17. Tamura S. 38. Hino S.
13. Kondo I. (G) 2. Nakamura R. 30. Koyanagi T. 3. Ohata R. 22. Nuki M. 28. Nodake J. 19. Farzan Sana M. 20. Shimokawa T. 27. Fujimura R. 17. Hyakuda M. 99. Nakashima T.
Substitutes
9. Fujimoto Y. 44. Hayashi M. 37. Ishio R. 99. Kabayama R. 45. Makiguchi K. (G) 39. Muto H. 18. Shibata T. 30. Yamamoto S. 13. Yamashita Y.
36. Adachi S. 69. Izuma S. 8. Kamigaki R. 15. Kazama K. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 77. Kotake S. 52. Soma J. 4. Tamashiro T. 18. Tanaka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Nakashima T. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Takemoto Y. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
46', Kozakai A. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
46', Yukutomo T. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Hino S. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Tamura S. ⚽,
59', Hosoya K. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Hayashi M. ⚽,
63', Shimokawa T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
63', Fujimura R. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
63', Hyakuda M. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
71', Nakashima T. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
76', Tamura S. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
85', Nuki M. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
90+1', Hosoya K. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - J2 League and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 1.
Ehime has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Thespakusatsu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Thespakusatsu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Thespakusatsu has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ehime for this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Ehime has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ehime against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).