The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 29.7%
Draw 26.6%
Roasso Kumamoto 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.7%
27.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
29.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roasso Kumamoto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roasso Kumamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 16. Yamahara K. 3. Ohata R. 2. Nakamura R. 22. Nuki M. 8. Kamigaki R. 4. Tamashiro T. 17. Hyakuda M. 27. Fujimura R. 18. Tanaka S. 15. Kazama K.
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 5. Kobayashi K. 41. Omoto Y. 13. Iihoshi A. 37. Ozawa H. 29. Mishina N. 25. Nasu K. 9. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.
Substitutes
69. Izuma S. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 77. Kotake S. 30. Koyanagi T. 99. Nakashima T. 28. Nodake J. 20. Shimokawa T. 52. Soma J.
39. Ishida R. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 19. Miyata I. 17. Nagai S. 27. Negishi K. 3. Onishi R. 23. Sato Y. (G) 11. Watanabe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tamashiro T. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
58', Kamigaki R. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
68', Nuki M. ↓, Soma J. ↑,
70', Omoto Y. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
70', Iihoshi A. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Katori Y. ⚽,
74', Fujimura R. 🟨,
75', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
76', Tanaka S. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
77', Fujimura R. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
84', Hyakuda M. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
85', Katori Y. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
86', Nasu K. ↓, Onishi R. ↑,
90', Ozawa H. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
90+3', Nakashima T. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 0.
In recent outings, Thespakusatsu has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kumamoto is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Thespakusatsu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Thespakusatsu has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:23 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Thespakusatsu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Kumamoto
12
5
5
2
13:6
7
20
17
Kusatsu
13
4
1
8
12:22
-10
13
Last Results with these Odds
Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Kondo I. (G) 
Ri T. 
Bae Jeong-Min 
Ishida R. 
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