Match Info

J3 League - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	17:00	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Ehime

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.40	1.93
	3.2	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.57	3.75	1.96
	3.45	3.8	1.93	Watch
	3.5	3.65	1.87
	3.31	3.88	1.97	Watch
	3.25	3.55	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	3.63 ↑ (3.3)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
27.3%

Draw
25.3%

Ehime
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.1%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

25.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ehime aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ryūkyū - Ehime Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 24. Kawaguchi N. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 32. Takayanagi F. 13. Iwamoto S. 17. Kato Y. 19. Teruuchi T. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 23. Sota K.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. 50. Sugiyama K. 16. Hosoya K. 49. Abe R. 8. Kamimura S. 14. Saito R. 28. Kozakai A. 13. Yamashita Y. 17. Tamura S. 38. Hino S.
Substitutes
27. Funabashi Y. 8. Horiuchi H. 16. Ihori K. 11. Ishiura T. 22. Kamiya K. 55. Koki Y. 33. Miyamoto R. (G) 7. Motegi S. 18. Ueno Y.	9. Fujimoto Y. 44. Hayashi M. 37. Ishio R. 99. Kabayama R. 45. Makiguchi K. (G) 39. Muto H. 22. Takemoto Y. 6. Tanioka M. 48. Yukutomo T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yamashita Y. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
58', Saito R. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Fujiharu H. (Own goal),
64', Iwamoto S. ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
64', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
73', Kawaguchi N. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
73', Teruuchi T. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
73', Tamura S. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
73', Kozakai A. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
86', Abe R. ↓, Yukutomo T. ↑,
86', Sota K. ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Koki Y. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 1.

In recent outings, Ryūkyū has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ehime shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ehime is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Ryūkyū has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ryūkyū against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ehime	12	8	2	2	28:15	13	26
9	Ryukyu	13	6	2	5	16:15	1	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
20.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ryūkyū - Yokohama FC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLL
- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
19.09.26	Ehime - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Osaka - Ehime	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ehime - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
30.08.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ehime	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
17.09.23	Ryūkyū - Ehime	2:3
29.04.23	Ehime - Ryūkyū	2:1
Japan J2 League
16.10.21	Ryūkyū - Ehime	0:1
08.05.21	Ehime - Ryūkyū	1:1
13.12.20	Ryūkyū - Ehime	6:0
25.07.20	Ehime - Ryūkyū	1:1
16.11.19	Ehime - Ryūkyū	1:2

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