Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.25	2.17	Watch
	3.35	3.29	2.16	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.26	3.22	2.21	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
29.2%

Draw
28.8%

Ventforet Kofu
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Ehime - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kofu will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kofu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 29. Fukushima H. 25. Yoshida H. 16. Hosoya K. 19. Kuroishi T. 24. Koda H. 8. Fukazawa Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 13. Kubota R. 11. Fujihara Y. 18. Taguchi Y.	1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 19. Miyazaki J. 20. Endo H. 25. Hiratsuka Y. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 9. Mitsuhira K.
Substitutes
21. Bak Keon-Woo 9. Duncan B. 3. Marcel Scalese 44. Moriyama K. 39. Muto H. 42. Panya E. 10. Sato R. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 48. Yukutomo T.	97. Higashi J. (G) 2. Inoue M. 6. Kobayashi I. 22. Koide Y. 11. Kumakura K. 44. Naito Y. 29. Oshima K. 14. Tanaka Y. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Ishimaru K.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torikai Y. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
46', Matheus Leiria ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
60', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
65', Taguchi Y. ↓, Duncan B. ↑,
69', Endo H. 🟨,
71', Hiratsuka Y. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
75', Kubota R. ↓, Yukutomo T. ↑,
75', Koda H. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
81', Fujihara Y. ↓, Panya E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ehime won 2.

Ehime has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kofu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ehime could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kofu have a series of home games.

Kofu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ehime won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Ehime - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Ehime - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.06.24	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:2
27.04.24	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
11.07.21	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:0
21.03.21	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
08.12.20	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	0:2
19.08.20	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	3:2
13.07.19	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:0

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