The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventforet Kofu 16.9%
Draw 26.4%
Machida Zelvia 56.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
29.1%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
29.8%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ventforet Kofu's form might have worsened.
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ventforet Kofu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Higashi J. (G) 22. Koide Y. 2. Inoue M. 40. Edu Mancha 19. Miyazaki J. 20. Endo H. 14. Tanaka Y. 7. Araki S. 29. Oshima K. 77. Matheus Leiria 44. Naito Y.
13. Morita T. (G) 50. Okamura D. 4. Kikuchi R. 5. Dresevic I. 6. Mochizuki H. 23. Shirasaki R. 8. Sento K. 26. Hayashi K. 99. Takahashi D. 9. Fujio S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
25. Hiratsuka Y. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Kumakura K. 31. Lee M. K. (G) 24. Sato K. 3. Son T. 10. Torikai Y. 17. Tsuchiya T. 4. Yamamoto H.
49. Kuwayama K. 19. Nakayama Y. 20. Nishimura T. 22. Numata T. 18. Shimoda H. 3. Shoji G. 7. Soma Y. 1. Tani K. (G) 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Otsuka S.
Kuroda G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Kikuchi R. ↓, Shoji G. ↑,
45', Otsuka S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Sento K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oshima K. ↓, Torikai Y. ↑,
65', Duke M. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
65', Takahashi D. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
69', Sento K. 🟨,
71', Matheus Leiria ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
80', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
80', Mochizuki H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
83', Miyazaki J. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
83', Araki S. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
87', Tanaka Y. ↓, Hiratsuka Y. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 3.
Recent matches Kofu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Machida Zelvia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Kofu won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
Watch
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Higashi J. (G) 
Edu Mancha 
Dresevic I. 
Duke M. 
Lee M. K. (G) 
Vasquez B. 
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