Match Info

Date: 21 January 2021, Thursday


	Eibar		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	5.5	3.3	1.78
	5.6	3.4	1.76	Watch
	5.4	3.3	1.75
	5.75	3.44	1.79
	5.5	3.25	1.78	Watch
	5.65	3.3	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.56 ↓ (6.12)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
17.2%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Madrid
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

28%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

23.8%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	4.8%	89.4%

Eibar - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (296 of 331 users predict this - 89.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.12% – 92.74%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).

Eibar has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlético has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (97%), has a chance of win league (48%).

Recent matches Eibar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eibar have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Navalcarnero - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.21	Levante - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Las Rozas - Eibar	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.21	Eibar - Granada	2:0 ✺
29.12.20	Barcelona - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.21	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Cornellà - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.21	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
30.12.20	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:0 ✺
22.12.20	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.01.20	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:0
01.09.19	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:2
20.04.19	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:1
15.09.18	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	1:1
20.05.18	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	2:2
13.01.18	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:1
06.05.17	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	1:0

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