Match Info

LaLiga - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 3, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
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Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Atlético Madrid		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	8	Watch
	1.35	4.95	8.8	Watch
	1.39	5.12	7.81
	1.42	4.89	8.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.93 ↓ (5.02)	8.21 ↑ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
69%

Draw
19.4%

Sevilla
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.4%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Atlético Madrid - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Sevilla will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 41% – 80.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 50%). Sevilla (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (3.18) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sevilla (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 2. Gimenez J. M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 10. Baena A. 23. Gonzalez N. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 3. Azpilicueta C. 23. Marcao (C) 12. Suazo G. 19. Mendy B. 20. Sow D. 16. Sanchez J. 14. Peque 11. Vargas R. 7. Romero I.
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 5. Cardoso J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Galan J. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 15. Lenglet C. 24. Le Normand R. 12. Martin C. 16. Molina N. 18. Pubill M. 22. Raspadori G.	9. Adams A. 28. Bueno M. 32. Castrin 21. Ejuke C. 17. Gonzalez A. 6. Gudelj N. 24. Januzaj A. 22. Martinez R. 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 4. Salas K.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mendy B. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
46', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Nianzou T. ↑,
54', Romero I. 🟨,
63', Nianzou T. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. (Pen),
68', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
69', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
72', Sanchez J. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
74', Baena A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Almada T. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
77', Marcao 🟨,
79', Peque ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
79', Romero I. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
86', Simeone G. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
86', Alvarez J. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Almada T. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4.

Atlético is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sevilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlético is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Agoume L. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Cardoso F. (Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
27.10.25	Betis - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Sevilla	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.10.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sevilla - Mallorca	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sevilla - Barcelona	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
06.04.25	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2
08.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	4:3
11.02.24	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
25.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
23.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	6:1

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