Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Eibar		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.65	Watch
	4.5	4.5	1.65
	4.5	4.7	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.4	1.65
	4.64	4.72	1.66
	5	4.2	1.63	Watch
	4.6	4.5	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (6.04)	4.5 ↓ (5.19)	1.65 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
20.8%

Draw
21.3%

Barcelona
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

18.3%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

10.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.9%	6.7%	76.4%

Eibar - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 15 - 16.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 68 - 76.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 67.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Eibar is Relegated to LaLiga2

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (Group Stage)

Eibar has the most likely position - 20 (63.51%), has project points - 31, has currently - 30, was already of relegated.

Barcelona has the most likely position - 3 (86.88%), has project points - 78, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for ucl, has not chance of win league.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Eibar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 7-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga
16.05.21	Valencia - Eibar	4:1 ✺
13.05.21	Eibar - Betis	1:1 ✺
09.05.21	Getafe - Eibar	0:1 ✺
01.05.21	Eibar - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
26.04.21	Eibar - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWWL
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
16.05.21	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
11.05.21	Levante - Barcelona	3:3 ✺
08.05.21	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Valencia - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
29.04.21	Barcelona - Granada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.12.20	Barcelona - Eibar	1:1
22.02.20	Barcelona - Eibar	5:0
19.10.19	Eibar - Barcelona	0:3
19.05.19	Eibar - Barcelona	2:2
13.01.19	Barcelona - Eibar	3:0
17.02.18	Eibar - Barcelona	0:2
19.09.17	Barcelona - Eibar	6:1

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