The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valencia 32.9%
Draw 27.9%
Eibar 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
28%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
20.9%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37%
15.2%
47.8%
Valencia - Eibar Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 17 - 37%). Eibar will win (votes: 22 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 33.4% – 62.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
Valencia has the most likely position - 14 (50.64%), has project points - 42, has currently - 39, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Eibar has the most likely position - 20 (44.42%), has project points - 32, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Valencia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Eibar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Valencia won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
Watch
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