The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 23.8%
Draw 27.6%
Real Sociedad 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
26.7%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
21.1%
64.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.1%
7.3%
89.5%
Eibar - Real Sociedad Predictions
Users Predictions:
Real Sociedad will win
(171 of 191 users predict this - 89.53%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.19% โ 93.87%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Group Stage)).
Eibar has a good chance of relegated (94%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Real Sociedad has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Eibar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Eibar have a series of guest games.
In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Eibar won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.
Watch
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