Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stage Front Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)


	Espanyol		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.32	6.28
	1.61	4.13	5.97
	1.5	4	6
	1.61	4.1	5.35	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4.1 ↓ (4.25)	5.48 ↓ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
59.8%

Draw
23%

Villarreal B
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Espanyol - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 5. Calero F. 14. Olivan B. 7. Puado J. 10. Lozano P. 18. Aguado A. 20. Exposito 11. Milla P. 22. Braithwaite M.	13. Morro M. A. (G) 16. Lanchi 29. Espigares A. 19. Iniguez P. 3. Tasende D. 21. Rodri 6. del Moral A. 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Fores A. 11. Pascual J.
Substitutes
9. Balde K. 8. Bare K. 6. Cabrera L. 38. Forns I. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 15. Gragera J. 17. Jofre 4. Ruiz V. 34. Sadik O. 19. Sanchez S.	7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 35. Gomez R. (G) 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Ramis L. M.	Alvarez M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Espanyol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Ferrol - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Espanyol - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Espanyol - Burgos	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	FC Andorra - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTTT
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
14.01.24	Cartagena - Villarreal B	4:1 ✺
21.12.23	Villarreal B - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
18.12.23	Villarreal B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
08.12.23	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
04.12.23	Villarreal B - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.23	Villarreal B - Espanyol	3:1

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