Match Info

Date: 7 December 2020, Monday


	Eibar		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.33	3.15	3.4	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.25
	2.41	3.18	3.42
	2.4	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.38	3.16	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.29 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
40.3%

Draw
30.7%

Valencia
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.5%	42.2%	23.3%

Eibar - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 116 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 40 - 34.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 27 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 49 - 42.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 51.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16).

Eibar has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Valencia has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Eibar won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.20	Betis - Eibar	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Eibar - Getafe	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Huesca - Eibar	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Eibar - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Sevilla - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WTTLW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.20	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	2:2 ✺
08.11.20	Valencia - Real Madrid	4:1 ✺
01.11.20	Valencia - Getafe	2:2 ✺
23.10.20	Elche - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.06.20	Eibar - Valencia	1:0
04.01.20	Valencia - Eibar	1:0
28.04.19	Valencia - Eibar	0:1
15.12.18	Eibar - Valencia	1:1
29.04.18	Valencia - Eibar	0:0
16.12.17	Eibar - Valencia	2:1
04.02.17	Valencia - Eibar	0:4

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