Match Info

LaLiga - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	21:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	15:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	23:00	UpTV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	01:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 22


	Valencia		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.65	Watch
	5.24	4.3	1.65
	5.13	4.29	1.66	Watch
	4.8	4	1.62
	5.17	4.3	1.66	Watch
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↓ (6.11)	4.18 ↓ (4.73)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
19.1%

Draw
22.9%

Real Madrid
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.5%

20%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

22.1%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.4%	9%	80.6%

Valencia - Real Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Real (1.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Valencia (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Real (2.08) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Real (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu 23. Ugrinic F. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 15. Beltran L.	1. Courtois T. (G) 35. Jimenez D. 17. Asencio R. 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 14. Tchouameni A. 8. Valverde F. (C) 6. Camavinga E. 16. Garcia G. 15. Guler A. 10. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
10. Almeida A. 12. Correia T. 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 2. Rodriguez G. 6. Sadiq U. 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.	4. Alaba D. 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 2. Carvajal D. 19. Ceballos D. 28. Cestero Sancho J. 21. Diaz B. 20. Garcia F. 13. Lunin A. (G) 30. Mastantuono F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 22. Rudiger A.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Arbeloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, Carreras A. ⚽, Huijsen D. (A),
69', Carreras A. 🟨,
72', Pepelu ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
73', Nunez U. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
76', Garcia G. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
76', Jimenez D. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
81', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
81', Ugrinic F. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
82', Beltran L. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
82', Guler A. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
88', Copete J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
90+2', Valverde F. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real is the team to beat.

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Rivero C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury) Vinicius Junior (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Valencia: Correia T. (Hamstring Injury) Rubo (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25:10	15	24
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 23.65% Valencia: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Betis - Valencia	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valencia - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Getafe - Valencia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Burgos - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Benfica - Real Madrid	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.01.26	Villarreal - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Monaco	6:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.26	Real Madrid - Levante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	4:0
05.04.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	1:2
03.01.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:2
02.03.24	Valencia - Real Madrid	2:2
11.11.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	5:1
21.05.23	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:0
02.02.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	2:0

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