Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Nielsen F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	3.8
	1.66	3.75	4.5
	1.63	3.75	4.5
	1.65	4.26	4.61
	1.55	3.9	4.5
	1.62	3.98	4.7
	1.66	3.85	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.11)	3.97 ↓ (4)	4.46 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
56.4%

Draw
23.1%

Benfica
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

22.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

22.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eintracht Frankfurt's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eintracht Frankfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannes S. (G) 17. Wolter P. 4. Kleinherne S. 23. Doorsoun-Khajeh S. 18. Hanshaw V. 14. Reuteler G. 31. Pawollek T. (C) 28. Dunst B. 19. Anyomi N. 10. Freigang L. 7. Prasnikar L.	1. Pauels L. (G) 16. Ucheibe C. 3. Seica A. 15. Costa C. (C) 19. Amado C. 6. Faria A. 23. Gasper A. 17. Norton A. 2. Alidou d'Anjou M. 10. Nazareth K. 13. Sousa Alves L. C.
Substitutes
29. Acikgoz D. 20. Acikgoz I. 26. Bosl C. (G) 8. Grawe L. 21. Johann H. (G) 13. Kirchberger V. 9. Martinez S. 27. Nachtigall S. 22. Riesen N. 2. Santos L. 25. Veit J. 30. Wamser C.	5. Almendariz P. 8. Cintra M. 66. Costa R. (G) 39. Dias C. (G) 28. Falcon A. 80. Lais 22. Lopez S. 20. Martins L. 99. Nogueira B. 9. Raysla N. 4. Rebelo S. 72. Silva M.
Coaches
Arnautis N.	Patao F.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eintracht is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eintracht won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt Women
German Bundesliga Women
16.12.23	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
13.12.23	Benfica - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
10.12.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - TSG Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.11.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
18.11.23	Nürnberg - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW
- SL Benfica Women
UEFA Champions League Women
13.12.23	Benfica - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
26.11.23	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.11.23	Benfica - Rosengård	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
19.11.23	Braga - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
14.11.23	Barcelona - Benfica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
13.12.23	Benfica - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0

Eintracht Frankfurt - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide