Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ekenäs		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	4.10	1.55
	4.40	3.80	1.58	Watch
	4.69	4.83	1.63
	4.45	4.55	1.61	Watch
	4.35	4.75	1.58
	4.68	4.37	1.60	Watch
	4.40	4.10	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.75)	4.36 ↑ (4)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
20.6%

Draw
21.2%

KTP Kotka
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

23.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

23%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KTP Kotka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KTP Kotka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ekenäs - KTP Kotka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 13. Sallinen O.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 15. Adebayo A. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 30. Puhakainen L. 22. Rangel 13. Tahmbi N.
Substitutes
19. Agbo D. 40. Hamdi M. 1. Heino O. (G) 27. Kocol D. 29. Mohamed F. 24. Pelkonen N. 18. Sivonen A.	21. Hanninen O. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 29. Ruohio A. 14. Sunday G. 20. Tulehmo A.
Coaches
Lignell M.	Pasoja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mohammed N. 🟨,
26', Adebayo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Adebayo A. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
69', Bah S. ↓, Mohamed F. ↑,
78', Sallinen O. ↓, Agbo D. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Makela J. (A),
87', Rangel ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,
90', Etu F. ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
90+1', Forsell P. ↓, Hanninen O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, KTP is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EIF won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
16.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Ekenäs - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	SJK Akatemia - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTL
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.07.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:3 ✺
18.07.26	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1
03.05.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	5:2
Finnish Cup
21.06.23	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	3:0
Finnish Ykkonen
02.10.22	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	1:2
30.07.22	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	2:0
30.05.22	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	1:1
Club Friendly
26.03.21	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	1:2

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