Match Info

I Lyga - Round 18

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Ekranas		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.88	3.45	2.08
	2.43	3.45	2.37
	2.49	3.55	2.44	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.30
	2.97	3.52	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.14)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	2.26 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekranas
34.3%

Draw
26%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekranas's form might have worsened.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žalgiris Vilnius 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekranas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Vilnius 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 🟥,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 2.

Ekranas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Žalgiris 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Žalgiris 2 will win today's game, with odds of 2.18.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ekranas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
25.07.26	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:4 ✺
02.07.26	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
28.07.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.03.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	1:0
29.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	2:4
04.05.25	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
28.07.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	2:3
12.03.23	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1
05.11.22	Ekranas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:5
02.07.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	0:2

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