Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Eléctrico		Fatima

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.5	1.7
	4.1	4.05	1.61
	4.26	4.04	1.64	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.62	3.85	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.5)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	1.64 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eléctrico
21.1%

Draw
23.8%

Fatima
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.7%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

25.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eléctrico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fatima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eléctrico - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Eléctrico is Relegated to

Recent performances by Eléctrico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fatima's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fatima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fatima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eléctrico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fatima	4	1	1	2	6:5	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eléctrico FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Samora Correia - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Eléctrico - Peniche	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Eléctrico - Marinhense	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWL
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.04.26	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Fatima - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Os Marialvas - Fatima	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fatima - Naval	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Mortágua - Fatima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Fatima - Eléctrico	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.01.18	Fatima - Eléctrico	2:1
Taça de Portugal
24.09.17	Fatima - Eléctrico	4:2 ET

Eléctrico - Fatima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide