Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fatima		Naval

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.92	2.68
	2.56	2.69	2.93
	2.59	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.52	2.74	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)	2.78 ↓ (2.99)	2.84 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
35.4%

Draw
32.6%

Naval
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

30.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Fatima - Naval Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7
11	Fatima	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Mortágua - Fatima	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fatima - Lajense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Fatima - Samora Correia	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Marinhense - Fatima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTL
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Naval - Samora Correia	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Naval - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	Naval - Fatima	3:0

Fatima - Naval