Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Eléctrico		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.68
	4.72	3.43	1.66
	4.78	3.45	1.68	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.7
	4.84	3.57	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.65)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eléctrico
19.1%

Draw
27%

Marinhense
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

26.2%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eléctrico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eléctrico's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-4%)

Eléctrico - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90+9', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Eléctrico is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marinhense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Marinhense has had a series of home games.

Marinhense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Marinhense will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eléctrico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eléctrico FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Eléctrico - União da Serra	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	SB Castelo Branco - Eléctrico	6:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lajense - Eléctrico	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Eléctrico - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
04.03.26	Marinhense - Naval	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Marinhense - Fatima	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Samora Correia - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Marinhense - Eléctrico	0:0

Eléctrico - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide