Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Eléctrico		Peniche

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.45	1.72
	4.62	3.91	1.58
	4.56	3.9	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.65
	4.78	3.74	1.6
	3.7	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.7)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eléctrico
20.7%

Draw
24.8%

Peniche
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

24.8%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eléctrico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Eléctrico - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
73', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Eléctrico has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peniche's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peniche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peniche is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eléctrico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eléctrico FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Eléctrico - Marinhense	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Eléctrico - União da Serra	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	SB Castelo Branco - Eléctrico	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Os Marialvas - Peniche	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	Peniche - Eléctrico	0:3

Eléctrico - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide