Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Os Marialvas		Peniche

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.15	3.95
	1.86	3.06	4.14
	1.86	3.17	4.16	Watch
	1.85	2.9	3.9
	1.89	3.3	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	4.03 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
48.6%

Draw
29%

Peniche
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Os Marialvas - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Marialvas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peniche has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peniche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marialvas has had a series of away games.

Recently, Peniche has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marialvas is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marialvas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Marialvas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Os Marialvas	4	3	0	1	8:2	6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas	0:5 ✺
25.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Os Marialvas - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória de Sernache - Os Marialvas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWL
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:1
02.03.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:0
03.11.24	Os Marialvas - Peniche	2:0

Os Marialvas - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide