Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche (Peniche)


	Peniche		Fatima

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.92	3
	2.4	2.71	3.11
	2.4	2.83	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3.11	3.11
	2.37	2.71	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	2.86 ↓ (3)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peniche
38.7%

Draw
31.8%

Fatima
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2%)

Peniche - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Peniche could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fatima	4	1	1	2	6:5	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Peniche	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Peniche - União da Serra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTTW
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.01.26	Marinhense - Fatima	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fatima - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	União da Serra - Fatima	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Fatima	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fatima - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.09.25	Fatima - Peniche	3:1
02.02.25	Peniche - Fatima	0:1
15.09.24	Fatima - Peniche	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.03.19	Peniche - Fatima	2:0

Peniche - Fatima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide