Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche (Peniche)


	Peniche		Naval

	1	X	2
	2.68	3	2.45
	2.8	2.73	2.62
	2.81	2.86	2.58	Watch
	2.83	3.09	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
32.8%

Draw
31.2%

Naval
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Peniche - Naval Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 🟥,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Peniche - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTTT
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.26	Naval - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Eléctrico - Naval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.10.25	Naval - Peniche	2:0

Peniche - Naval: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide