Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	El Ejido		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.43	2.85	2.7
	2.95	2.93	2.6
	2.83	3.04	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)	2.9 ↑ (2.78)	2.6 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
33.8%

Draw
31.3%

Real Murcia
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1%)

El Ejido - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

El Ejido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-19.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.03.22	Hércules - El Ejido	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	El Ejido - Eldense	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	La Nucía - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	El Ejido - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	El Ejido - Levante B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWWL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.03.22	Real Murcia - Levante B	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Pulpileño - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Real Murcia - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Alzira - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Real Murcia - CSKA Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.10.21	Real Murcia - El Ejido	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.21	Real Murcia - El Ejido	2:2
10.01.21	El Ejido - Real Murcia	1:1
17.02.19	Real Murcia - El Ejido	1:1
30.09.18	El Ejido - Real Murcia	0:2
Club Friendly
11.08.18	El Ejido - Real Murcia	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.01.18	El Ejido - Real Murcia	0:2

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