Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.4	7
	1.45	3.8	6.5
	1.51	3.55	6
	1.58	3.4	7.32
	1.56	3.54	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	3.54 ↑ (3.43)	6.71 ↓ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
60.4%

Draw
25.9%

Socuéllamos
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

26.1%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

14.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Socuéllamos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - Socuéllamos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Socuéllamos is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Socuéllamos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Murcia is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.02.22	Alzira - Real Murcia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Real Murcia - CSKA Moscow	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	Real Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Real Murcia - Granada B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTW
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.02.22	Socuéllamos - Hércules	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Eldense - Socuéllamos	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Socuéllamos - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	El Ejido - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Socuéllamos - Levante B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.10.21	Socuéllamos - Real Murcia	0:0

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