Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonardo Costa (Buenos Aires)


	El Linqueño		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.75	2.45
	2.48	2.70	2.80
	3.11	2.80	2.61
	3.1	2.61	2.62	Watch
	3.05	2.40	2.55
	3.04	2.61	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.53)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)	2.59 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Linqueño
30.9%

Draw
34.2%

Douglas Haig
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

33.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Linqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

El Linqueño - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 11. Malinauskas J. 3. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 6. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 4. Ramos A.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Canela N. 11. Cuello L. 7. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 8. Ojeda L. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G.
Substitutes
12. Atencio J. (G) 13. Coria J. 15. Ferraro F. 19. Gonzalez B. 16. Macias L. 17. Nunez L. 20. Quijada J. 14. Ramos M. 18. Sequeyra J.	16. Arriola C. 15. Baglivo G. L. 14. Caballo M. 19. Fiorito S. 12. Perrone F. (G) 20. Rosciano L. 13. Rossi G. 18. Schlotthauer M. 17. Tus E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Meza B. 🟥,
83', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1.

El Linqueño has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Douglas Haig shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, El Linqueño has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 0.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for El Linqueño against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Douglas Haig - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.95%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.09.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - El Linqueño	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	El Linqueño - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTT
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.09.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:4 ✺
30.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	2:0
12.04.26	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	1:0
01.06.25	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	1:0
30.03.25	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	2:3
08.09.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	1:1
02.06.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	0:1
07.04.24	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	0:0

El Linqueño - Douglas Haig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide