Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Defensores de Vilelas		El Linqueño

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	2.00	3.00	3.55
	1.92	3.12	4.00
	1.95	3.08	4.03	Watch
	1.89	2.90	3.95
	1.93	2.96	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	3 (3)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
46.7%

Draw
30.1%

El Linqueño
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

32.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for El Linqueño aligns with the current prediction.

Defensores de Vilelas - El Linqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma L. (G) 5. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 6. Farias F. 3. Molina N. 11. Moreno G. 10. Niz L. 7. Rios G. 4. Turraca J.	1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 6. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 4. Ramos A. 3. Veinticinco J.
Substitutes
17. Acevedo J. 19. Canario J. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 13. Lallana F. 20. Larrasabal L. 16. Montenegro I. 14. Navarro L. 18. Ojeda G. 15. Vargas A.	12. Atencio J. (G) 19. Cordoba N. 13. Coria J. 15. Ferraro F. 20. Gonzalez B. 16. Macias L. 14. Malinauskas J. 18. Quijada J. 17. Sequeyra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
64', 🟨,

Preview

Def de Vilelas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Linqueño is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Def de Vilelas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Def de Vilelas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Vilelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tucuman Central - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWWW

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