The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Chivilcoy 55.4%
Draw 28.5%
El Linqueño 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
29.7%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
30.8%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.
El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Linqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Linqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Acuna L. 5. D'Annunzio N. 8. Funes F. 7. Hernandez Castro T. J. 4. Mast T. 9. Retamozo L. 10. Rodriguez L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 4. Malinauskas J. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 6. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 3. Ramos A.
Substitutes
13. Borgognoni G. 14. Caceres E. 17. Cisnero L. 18. Luciano 15. Matera S. 16. Mercado L. 19. Perez F. 12. Posik I. (G) 20. Ramirez L.
14. Alonso A. 12. Atencio J. (G) 15. Coria J. 16. Ferraro F. 19. Gonzalez B. 13. Juarez Lacoste N. 17. Macias L. 20. Quijada J. 18. Sequeyra J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Hernandez Castro T. J. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Ind Chivilcoy is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Watch
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Cordero M. (G) 
Ochoa M. 
Pavon M. 
Quijada J. 
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