Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2


	Bartolomé Mitre		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.55	3.10
	1.85	3	3.9
	2.75	2.23	3.34
	2.73	2.35	3.37	Watch
	2.7	2.2	3.3
	2.69	2.53	3.31
	2.5	2.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.86)	2.48 ↓ (3.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
36%

Draw
36.7%

Douglas Haig
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

30.6%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bartolomé Mitre's form might have worsened.

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bartolomé Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 8. Arraya L. 3. Arregui L. 7. Benitez E. 6. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 4. Esquivel L. 11. Golomba N. 9. Klusener A. 10. Sarza K.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Canela N. 10. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 7. Schlotthauer M. 8. Tus E.
Substitutes
18. Caceres A. 15. Cerdan R. 17. Colman M. 16. Ibarra I. 19. Mendez M. 14. Recalde G. 20. Romero W. 13. Sotelo L. 12. Uliambre Ruiz Diaz L. G. (G)	18. Arriola C. 16. Caballo M. 19. Fiorito S. 13. Mauri M. 17. Munoz L. 15. Ojeda L. 12. Perrone F. (G) 14. Pezzi A. 20. Rosciano L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Magnago B. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Palacio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 3, Ojeda L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Bartolomé Mitre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Douglas Haig's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bartolomé Mitre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bartolomé Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLTW

Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide