Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonardo Costa (Buenos Aires)


	El Linqueño		Sportivo Las Parejas

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.60	3.10
	2.55	2.80	2.70
	2.56	2.40	3.65
	2.66	2.28	3.83	Watch
	2.50	2.20	3.60
	2.42	2.74	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)	2.5 ↓ (2.85)	3.39 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Linqueño
36.4%

Draw
36.5%

Sportivo Las Parejas
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

32.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Las Parejas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Las Parejas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 3. Alsina T. 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 6. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 4. Ramos A.	1. San Juan F. (G) 2. Fissore M. 8. Laborie L. 7. Martinez A. 9. Piccinini J. 4. Pollacchi M. 10. Rolon L. 6. Schmidt A. 11. Schonfeld G. 5. Villagra N. 3. Zanoni A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Pavon M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. C. ⚽,
35', Schonfeld G. 🟨,
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Ferraro F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	9 de Julio - El Linqueño	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTL
- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	1:0
22.03.26	El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
19.07.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	0:2
15.06.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	3:1
13.04.25	El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0
24.06.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - El Linqueño	0:1
28.04.24	El Linqueño - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0

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