The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Linqueño 51.9%
Draw 30.2%
Independiente Chivilcoy 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
29.3%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Linqueño's performance.
Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Linqueño that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. (C) 2. Meza D. 6. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 4. Ramos A. 3. Veinticinco J.
1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Borgognoni G. 5. D'Annunzio N. 10. Funes F. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 9. Luciano 4. Mast T. 7. Retamozo L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
Substitutes
13. Alsina T. 12. Atencio J. (G) 19. Cordoba N. 14. Coria J. 15. Luques J. 17. Macias L. 16. Malinauskas J. 20. Quijada J. 18. Sequeyra J.
13. Acuna L. 20. Berrutti B. 14. Caceres E. 15. Matera S. 18. Mendoza D. 19. Perez F. 12. Posik I. (G) . Ramirez U. . Rodriguez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Pavon M. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Pavon M. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, El Linqueño is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Chivilcoy - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Watch
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Cuesta J. (G) 
Ochoa M. 
Pavon M. 
Quijada J. 
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