Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Orlando Lungarzo (Chivilcoy)


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Sportivo Las Parejas

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.70	2.60
	2.68	2.72	2.68
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.69	2.89	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.7
	2.98	2.81	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.16)	2.78 ↓ (2.9)	2.7 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
33.8%

Draw
32.6%

Sportivo Las Parejas
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Las Parejas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Las Parejas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Las Parejas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Borgognoni G. 5. D'Annunzio N. 10. Funes F. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 9. Luciano 4. Mast T. 7. Retamozo L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.	1. San Juan F. (G) 2. Fissore M. 3. Gauna J. 9. Gonzalez I. 8. Laborie L. 7. Martinez A. 4. Pollacchi M. 10. Rolon L. 6. Schmidt A. 11. Schonfeld G. 5. Villagra N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Retamozo L. ⚽,
33', D'Annunzio N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ))

Ind Chivilcoy is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2.

Ind Chivilcoy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sportivo Las Parejas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Las Parejas - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	0:4 ✺
21.06.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT
- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0
05.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
04.05.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1
07.07.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1
11.05.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:4
15.10.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:1
20.08.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0

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