Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 19 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)


	El Mokawloon El Arab		Aswan

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.85	4
	1.92	2.9	4.25
	1.98	2.95	3.95
	2	2.98	4.76
	1.95	3	4
	1.84	3.15	4.55	Watch
	2.01	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	4.22 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Mokawloon El Arab
47.4%

Draw
30.8%

Aswan
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

31.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

33.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: El Mokawloon El Arab will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Mokawloon won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match El Mokawloon is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches El Mokawloon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
13.01.23	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2 ✺
03.01.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Haras El-Hodood	3:2 ✺
30.12.22	National Bank of Egypt - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1 ✺
25.12.22	El Mokawloon El Arab - Zamalek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLT
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
13.01.23	Aswan - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	0:0 ✺
02.01.23	Aswan - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
29.12.22	Al Masry - Aswan	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Aswan - ENPPI	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
16.08.21	Aswan - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2
17.02.21	El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan	0:1
21.08.20	Aswan - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:0
23.11.19	El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan	2:1
29.06.17	El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan	1:1
19.12.16	Aswan - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:0
14.06.16	El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan	2:0

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