Match Info

Date: 29 July 2021, Thursday


	El Nacional		Atlético Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.1	5.5
	1.65	3	5.75
	1.61	3.45	5
	1.65	3.75	5.65
	1.62	3.3	5.25
	1.62	3.54	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	5.42 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
55.9%

Draw
27.2%

Atlético Porteño
16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

16.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for El Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Atlético Porteño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Nacional - Atlético Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches El Nacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Porteño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match El Nacional is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.21	América de Quito - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	El Nacional - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
14.07.21	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	2:0 ✺
11.07.21	El Nacional - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
07.07.21	Búhos ULVR - El Nacional	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWL
- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
21.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Atlético Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	4:2 ✺
14.07.21	Atlético Porteño - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Atlético Porteño - Chacaritas	2:1 ✺
08.07.21	LDU Portoviejo - Atlético Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
23.06.21	Atlético Porteño - El Nacional	1:0
20.05.21	El Nacional - Atlético Porteño	0:0

El Nacional - Atlético Porteño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide