Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	El Nacional		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.6	3.45	5.2
	1.66	3.62	5.22
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.51	3.74	5.9	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	3.48 ↑ (3.09)	5.14 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
55.9%

Draw
26.3%

Chacaritas
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

El Nacional - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: El Nacional will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 3.

Recent matches El Nacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacaritas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chacaritas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match El Nacional is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.10.22	Imbabura - El Nacional	3:2 ✺
20.10.22	El Nacional - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
17.10.22	Libertad Loja - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
11.10.22	América de Quito - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
07.10.22	El Nacional - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTL
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.10.22	Chacaritas - Libertad Loja	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Manta - Chacaritas	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Chacaritas - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
06.10.22	Búhos ULVR - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Chacaritas - Atlético Santo Domingo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
31.07.22	Chacaritas - El Nacional	0:2
17.05.22	El Nacional - Chacaritas	2:0
27.03.22	Chacaritas - El Nacional	3:2
08.09.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	1:1
18.07.21	El Nacional - Chacaritas	1:0
26.05.21	Chacaritas - El Nacional	0:1
25.03.21	El Nacional - Chacaritas	3:0

El Nacional - Chacaritas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide