Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	El Nacional		Atlético Rojiblanco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.58	3.68	1.9
	3.6	3.83	1.88
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.77	3.52	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (8.18)	3.55 ↓ (4.65)	1.87 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
25.4%

Draw
25.7%

Atlético Rojiblanco
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

19.5%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Nacional's performance.

Atlético Rojiblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Rojiblanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

El Nacional - Atlético Rojiblanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético Rojiblanco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Rojiblanco is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atletico FC	28	12	13	3	34:18	16	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.04.26	El Nacional - Cuenca Juniors	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.12.25	Emelec - El Nacional	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	El Nacional - SD Aucas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW
- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Copa
12.04.26	Juventud Italiana - Atlético Rojiblanco	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.04.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	9 de Octubre - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWW

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