Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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El Palmar |
|
Caravaca |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.98 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.62 |
3.05 |
2.66 |
|
 |
2.61 |
3.07 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.58 |
3.1 |
2.78 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.24) |
3
(3) |
2.65 ↓
(3.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palmar
35.1% | Draw
30.4% | Caravaca
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palmar's form might have worsened.Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.El Palmar - Caravaca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Bixente K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 3.El Palmar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Caravaca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). El Palmar might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, El Palmar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 | | | 19.10.25 | Caravaca - El Palmar | 1:2 | | 19.01.25 | Caravaca - El Palmar | 0:0 | | 08.09.24 | El Palmar - Caravaca | 1:0 | | 14.01.24 | Caravaca - El Palmar | 0:0 | | 05.03.23 | El Palmar - Caravaca | 2:1 | | 06.11.22 | Caravaca - El Palmar | 3:0 | | 23.01.22 | Caravaca - El Palmar | 1:1 |
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