Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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El Palmar |
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Bala Azul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.88 |
2.72 |
2.52 |
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2.97 |
2.77 |
2.58 |
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2.87 |
3.03 |
2.48 |
Watch |
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2.9 |
2.63 |
2.6 |
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2.86 |
2.75 |
2.5 |
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2.9 |
2.75 |
2.54 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.45) |
2.78 ↓ (3.1) |
2.54 ↓ (2.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palmar 31.4% | Draw 32.8% | Bala Azul 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Palmar's form might have worsened.Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Palmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-2.8%)El Palmar - Bala Azul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 0, Bixente K. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).El Palmar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bala Azul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Palmar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, El Palmar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;