Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Caravaca		Atlético Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.63	2.85	2.8
	2.55	3.16	2.65
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.6	2.83	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
35.5%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Santa Cruz
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Santa Cruz	7	3	3	1	12:10	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Santomera - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
11.01.26	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLT
- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cieza	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Bala Azul - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Olímpico de Totana	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.09.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Caravaca	3:2

Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz