Match Info

Primera C - Round 24

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Atlético Claypole		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.80	2.90
	2.35	2.85	2.90
	2.44	2.93	2.90
	2.25	3	3.17	Watch
	2.45	2.90	2.60
	2.71	3.02	2.71
	2.38	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.14)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	2.86 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Claypole
37.3%

Draw
31.1%

Mercedes
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Claypole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Claypole's form might have worsened.

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Claypole, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Atlético Claypole - Mercedes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Claypole will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mercedes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Genez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sanchez Olmos L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Atlético Claypole is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Claypole may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Claypole might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Claypole won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Claypole won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Claypole - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Mercedes - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
10.08.26	Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	General Lamadrid - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Leones de Rosario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
08.08.26	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Mercedes - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Berazategui - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Mercedes - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0
22.07.25	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	2:0
05.04.25	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1
11.11.24	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1
10.06.24	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0

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