Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	El Porvenir		Central Córdoba de Rosario

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.52	3.05
	2.66	2.33	3.26
	2.9	2.18	3.47
	2.5	2.5	3.1
	2.72	2.45	3.34
	2.9	2.8	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	2.46 ↓ (2.8)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
33.6%

Draw
37%

Central Córdoba de Rosario
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

33.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

33.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Central Córdoba de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba de Rosario than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Córdoba de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Muller J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 0.

El Porvenir is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Central Córdoba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, El Porvenir has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
03.05.26	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Fénix - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTTT
- Central Córdoba de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Fénix	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Centro Español	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	General Lamadrid - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.06.25	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:0
23.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	3:1
15.09.24	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:1
14.04.24	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	1:0
13.09.22	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:0
10.05.22	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	1:0
17.08.21	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2

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